International
oil prices fell more than expected, the oil companies "lean
production", dropped sharply geophysical prospecting, drilling
exploration, oil felt chill thick clothing enterprises.
International
oil prices fell more than expected, causing the oil and gas and oil industry
chain reaction "cool", the entire oil and gas industry chain are
shivering. According to the relevant institutions, expects global oil and gas
exploration and production capital spending this year to $657 billion, down 16%
year on year, cicc research reports, from the point of the Chinese market,
petrochina, sinopec exploration and development investment slowdown trend since
2013.
Oil companies
"lean production", geophysical prospecting, drilling exploration
greatly reduced, which makes professional high lard clothing enterprises feel
the chill of deep. Oil clothing enterprises in China, high degree of
marketization of cosl (stock).
Oil prices decreased magnificently over the period
Oil and oil companies
have been on the same page, a drop in oil prices, oil companies to win
"grease", can only be cut authors, serving as a direct result of oil
companies work. Therefore, oil companies have to reduce technology, personnel,
and capital investment, oil companies are difficult to yield.
This year, the
oil companies further contraction upstream exploration and mining investment,
and further to divest non-core assets. Edison investment research firm,
according to a report in response to the slump in oil prices, this year's big
oil companies to cut capital spending by an average of 10% ~ 15%, and at the
same time, large-scale restructuring and renegotiate the service contract.
Earlier this
year, total company announced a 10% reduction in investment, and accelerate the
asset transfer. Specifically, compared with the investment of 26 billion
dollars last year, $2 billion to $3 billion this year will reduce the
investment, reduce investment mainly relates to the north sea, Canada, and in
the west African region. Bp also said that this year's annual budget cut to $20
billion, compared with the original plan of $24 billion by about 20%.
Similarly, in
addition to the international oil companies, national oil companies are
slashing upstream exploration and capital spending. Oil last year in the annual
report disclosure, its capital expenditure of 291.729 billion yuan, down 8.5%
compared with 318.696 billion yuan in 2013. The spending is expected to 266
billion yuan this year, including oil and gas exploration and production sector
is expected to 200.2 billion yuan, far less than 226.376 billion yuan and
221.479 billion yuan in 2013 and last year's.
China's oil
enterprises also tough times; in oil as the main customer of cosl directly
under pressure, work this year. Cosl is lead near cnooc clothing market in
China, the oil and gas market adverse environmental impact, as of the first
quarter, its operating income fell 451.4 million yuan, investment income fell
3.17 million yuan, operating profit dropped sharply by 30.9% to 1.1655 billion
yuan.
In the face of
continued low oil prices, cosl, said in a prudent attitude to capital
investment. In drilling plate, will consider to build a clear target market,
follow-up is suitable for the specific waters and unique special form in the
market; The international market this year if you have new demand, the main
consideration is given priority to with the lease.
Platform utilization rate declined
Low
oil prices to rise, the petroleum enterprise investment decision changes bring
some project delay or suspended, and many Marine engineering project, a lot of
drilling contract is terminated in advance. The message pointed out that cosco
will abandon the $600 million in unconventional OTT treasure semi-submersible
drilling production storage platform construction project; The Russian oil
company Rosneft will delay the offshore development projects in the arctic kara
sea; Oil drilling in the arctic, at the end of May 7 high-profile cold water
drilling project has 5 has been temporarily suspended.
Offshore
oil service industry equipment supply glut began to deteriorate, drilling,
geophysical prospecting and other large equipment signing rate and service prices
in different degree of decline, plate logging technology, directional well, the
cementing services also face much less, the test of price cuts. According to
overseas data, estimated this year overseas oilfield engineering technical
service market size for $371.7 billion to $402.6 billion, or 8% ~ 15%. The
Nordic Banks, according to a recent ultra deepwater floating drilling platform,
rents fell more than 50%, fell to about $275000; Jack-up drilling platform, the
rent also fell 40%. In mid 2017, drilling platform, the rent will fail.
Lard
clothing enterprise the international oil market; four schlumberger,
halliburton, baker hughes and weed bulk, layoffs, China's oil market also
solidly. Affected by oil prices fell sharply, cosl exploration workload drops rapidly
in domestic and foreign market, geophysical exploration work is short for
collecting and processing business, 3 RIGS appear in the international market
in the second half of the end of the contract or cancel the phenomenon of ahead
of time. A few days ago, cosl cnooc reached an agreement with main customers,
the service of cnooc's drilling platform rate by 20% ~ 20%.
On
June 25, COSL announcement, due to production decline, the Norwegian oil
countries will cancel the lease COSL semi-submersible drilling platform COSL
Pioneer of contract. Data show that COSL Pioneer is COSL's three services in
one of Norway's national oil semi-submersible drilling platform, idle since
last October, COSL has been charge 50% of the idle period. Originally scheduled
for August COSL Pioneer back up and running, but due to oil prices lead to
capital spending cuts, the Norwegian oil countries decided to terminate the
contract in advance (earlier than the original expires next August 13 months),
and agreed to a certain proportion of daily rent to COSL to pay a fine. In
response, cosl to cut 229 jobs in the north sea region.
To
this, the bank of China securities forecast, years COSL Pioneer will continue
to be idle, the utilization rate of 50% in the next year or two, COSL for drilling
platform in overseas is hard to get a new contract. At the same time, due to
weak market demand, the traditional offshore drilling in other areas of the
service provider is to look for business opportunities in Asia, this is the
challenge for cosl.
Cosl
one quarterly data show that affected by oil exploration and development
investment strength decrease, large equipment utilization rate is not full, rig
utilization and daily rates are falling. Homework for 3358 days as of the first
quarter, cosl drilling fleet, year-on-year increase of 297 days, 9.7% increase
of jack-up drilling platform work 2565 days, up 17.3%; Semi-submersible
drilling platform work 793 days, down 9.3% compared to the drilling platform of
the available day fell by 8.3% to 90.3%, utilization rate of jack-up drilling
platform and semi-submersible drilling platform available day utilization rate
were 90.5% and 89.75 respectively, reduced by 7.5% and 10.3% respectively
compared to the same calendar day utilization rate fell by 0.6% to 86.8%. Among
them, the jack-up drilling platform has increased; Semi-submersible drilling
platform fell by 9% to 88.1%. So far, 43 cosl drilling platform, there are
still some didn't get the year contract.
Facing the industry reshuffle
Cosl
bumps are not alone, because of China's oil and gas resources is not yet open,
more than 80% of the oil and gas production control in the hands of state-owned
enterprises. Owns more than half of the domestic oil drill, nearly 70% of the
market and staff, and petrochina look, visible industry. However, petrochina's
oil clothing enterprises is not listed, the specific performance is not clear,
but from the point of a quarterly, petrochina investment income greatly reduced
40%, operating profit, net profit plunged more than 70%, China's oil market
cautious.
Oil,
a clothing industry who declined to be named to the shipping trade gazette
reporter, said in a low cycle, oil clothing enterprises can only through the
authors efficiency to reduce the adverse factors, waiting for the industry.
However, China's oil enterprises basically is a subsidiary of oil enterprises,
creativity, competitiveness, and customer's single oil has been serving
enterprises shortcomings; International large oil service companies and oil
companies have no capital association, the stronger market competition
consciousness, professional techniques, can get out the contract smoothly.
The
consultancy, thinks, the current oil price fell, the clothing enterprises to
avoid oil production equipment idle and personnel slowdown, must lower the
price of technical service 15% ~ 20%. The clothing enterprises in China
international oil executives have pointed out that the industry of winter, oil
and oil companies should be "winter" hand in hand, through the
upgrade technology and management mode, make the exploration and exploitation
of more than 3% lower total cost. Cosl chairman liu in an interview with the
media also said that cosl to populace with the customer, make some concession
in price, also by some mechanisms to implement "risk-sharing, benefit
sharing". In addition to lower prices, some Chinese private oil clothing
enterprise also began to enter the upstream oil and gas exploration and
development fields, to the oil enterprise transformation.
In
addition, this person also noted that as the organization of petroleum
exporting countries say, not because the ending of the era of "stone ran
out of the stone", Opec organizations rely on resources such as monopoly,
to delay new energy research and development, interest game, oil prices will
recover smoothly, it's only a matter of time. Offshore market downturn,
although by drag on, oil prices, but oil and gas development will not stop, the
demand of oil and gas services will not fall. This kind of environment,
drilling market competition environment will be big change, oil market will
face shuffle.
Nordic
Banks, analysts said the drilling platform of scrap is the only way to save the
sea a weak labor market. Nordic Banks, according to data from the next two
years, there will be 109 floating drilling platform and sold 102 jack-up
drilling platform and dismantling, does not include the 38 cities has been
scrapped, that is to say, equivalent to about one-third of the rig drilling
fleet in the world will be scrapped, so as to ease market oversupply problem.
But over the next few years, is about to deliver a large number of drilling
platform and market oversupply problem will get worse, including 85 new
floating drilling platform. Global drilling market reshuffle.