Due to China's
growth is slowing and uncertainty in the world, and the carrier in capacity and
capacity of supply and demand balance in the struggle. Because of the global
supply chain are mostly in Asia, China's export weakness sting the
transporters. Compared with a good beginning in early 2015, now traffic has
started to shrink, but by sea and air transportation capacity is growing.
Due to the
excess capacity on the main trade area of Asia and within Asia into large ship,
the south and the north from Asia and Asia regional freight faces significant
downward pressure.
Business in Asia
to Europe and the Mediterranean route ship company most affected. , according
to Shanghai container freight index (SCFI) in early June, Shanghai to northern
Europe's rate of 284 usd/TEU, this is the SCFI announced the lowest level since
October 2009, the rate even isn't enough to cover the fuel surcharge.
Due to the spot
market downturn in the freight shipping and other cargo interests pay cost
less. A Hong Kong freight forwarders, said his company confirmed a lump rate
from Shanghai to Hamburg, for $300 / FEU, the price includes oil and all the
surcharge.
From April to
July in the traditional container off-season for liner companies. In April,
according to the CTS data, Asia - Europe volumes fell for a second consecutive
month, fell 1.2 million TEU, fell by 9.1% for the four months to transport 4.7
million TEU, 3.4% less than the same period last year.
In the first
quarter of this year is the most profitable period container industry for
nearly four years, a preliminary estimate operating margins at around 8%. Those
who had hoped to borrow the firm began to have a good year of liner company
bosses, in the face of the next rate decline will be disappointed.
If you insist on
refusing to spare plenty of supply capacity, then the shipowners' only option
is to cut the service. According to Copenhagen consulting and SeaIntel data,
Asia to northern route is decreased from 26 to 21; 15 existing at the same
time, Asia and the Mediterranean Sea routes and reduce 2 before. Hong Kong is
already attached to decrease the sixth week, Rotterdam affiliated amount is
reduced from 21 routes to 19 route.
Capacity,
however, did not respond. In the nearly three years, Asia - Europe route ship
type from 10000 teu to expand to an average of 10000 teu, Asian regional form
from 7000 teu to expand to 9000 teu. In addition to a small amount of course,
compared with 2012, Asia weekly capacity to northern route supply has increased
by 8.4%, increased by 2.7% to the Mediterranean Sea routes.
Shipping
consultancy Drury, said at the end of 2015, there will be at least 35 10000 teu
and launching, most of them will enter the asia-europe run. In late 2015, the
new production of ship and market share will probably continue to pressure on
the market rate.
Although Asian
American trade and trade between Asia still pressure by the freight rate, but
the service and the demand for large ships are still growing. Alphaliner said
the shipping company has been for Asia to eastern route configuration
consisting of 60 ships six new routes, including 50 panamax ship. During the
winter season, there are more than 10 5000-6000 teu ship to rejoin the Asia -
the beauty of the west route of the ship.
Internal service
also provides a new route in Asia that opened 33 new regional airline by the
end of June, 98 boat in the water, this is more than any other region.
These new routes
ship form is a traditional short-range waters ship form, the average capacity
in 1000-2000 teu, via Bangkok, coastal defense and yangon these popular port by
draught conditions.
More than 2000
teu ship to join another article 27 north Asia - southwest airlines, the
largest is the 4500 teu ship oocl, in northern China - klang on routes, began
to replace the original since January 2500 teu ship type. Most of the new fleet
capacity investment in Asia regional routes, while others into the feeder.
Shipping company
for peak season, and hopes the traffic demand growing again to restore profits,
but in recent months swerved more performance, the situation is not optimistic.
To be sure, however, are still in the recovery of the United States and fragmented
transport demand provided by the European (cargo) are difficult to meet the
Asian maritime, aviation excess capacity.